Closing an Earnings Expectation Gap with Nonrecurring Items
Efforts to meet the consensus earnings estimate of Wall Street will in many cases prove to be ineffective. That is, credit often will not be given for closing the gap between earnings and the consensus forecast if the revenue and gain increases or loss and expense decreases are judged to be nonrecurring or nonoperating. Many of the items in Exhibit 3.8 that would move earnings toward a target would be reversed in the process of computing pro forma or operating earnings. While in no sense a recommendation that more clandestine tactics be employed, it seems clear that the booking of nonrecurring items typically will be ineffective in closing an earnings shortfall and by extension in avoiding a reduction in share value. (more…)
